President Biden's reelection campaign faces formidable obstacles as a result of the six-month-long battle between Israel and Hamas, which has an impact on both domestic politics and international relations.
Geopolitical Risks: - A possible retaliatory strike by Iran in response to an Israeli attack on Iran's embassy in Damascus is one of the recent incidents.
- Israel intends to carry out operations in Gaza to counter Hamas while intensifying conflict along its northern border with Lebanon.
- Ceasefire negotiations are taking place in Cairo, but the huge number of civilian deaths—more than 30,000 Palestinians are reportedly dead—is drawing criticism from around the world.
Political Backlash: - At home, progressive, young, and Arab American voters are criticizing President Biden, which might hurt his prospects in crucial swing states in the 2024 election. Demonstrators have interfered with Biden's campaign appearances, which could lead to more difficulties, particularly if the dispute continues throughout the Democratic convention.
Tensions with Netanyahu: During their most recent phone conversation, Biden sought specific steps from Netanyahu, indicating a strain in their relationship.
- The White House and Israel are at odds and mistrust each other as a result of Netanyahu's determination to destroy Hamas combatants, even at the expense of civilian life.
Danger of an Escalation with Iran: The failure of the ceasefire negotiations to produce meaningful results suggests that the fighting will continue.
- Democrats are worried about how this will affect Biden's chances of winning reelection, since there are increasing requests for him to have greater power over Netyanahu.