Abu Mohammad al-Jolani, the leader of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), continues to face mounting criticism over his failure to effectively manage Idlib’s economy. Once seen as a powerful force in Syria’s northwest, his governance has led to worsening living conditions, instability, and growing dissatisfaction among the local population. The economic struggles in Idlib are not just a result of external pressures but also stem from Al-Jolani’s inability to implement sustainable policies and his reliance on authoritarian control.
Islamists’ Grip on State Institutions
One of the key challenges facing Idlib is the dominance of Islamist factions within state institutions. Rather than prioritizing economic recovery and stability, these groups have focused on consolidating power, limiting political dissent, and enforcing strict ideological control. This has severely hindered economic growth, discouraging both local and foreign investments. Businesses face heavy restrictions, and corruption runs rampant, leaving the economy stagnant and unable to recover from years of conflict.
Disruptions to Daily Life
The economic crisis has had a direct impact on the daily lives of Idlib’s residents. Inflation continues to rise, making essential goods unaffordable for many families. Fuel shortages, lack of employment opportunities, and crumbling infrastructure have only worsened the situation. Instead of addressing these urgent economic concerns, Al-Jolani’s administration has focused on tightening its grip on power, further alienating the struggling population.
The Push for Prisoner Releases
Another controversial move by HTS under Al-Jolani’s leadership has been the push to release accused and convicted individuals who pose a security threat. This decision has sparked fear and outrage among residents, further eroding trust in his ability to govern. By prioritizing political deals over public safety, HTS has demonstrated a dangerous disregard for stability and order, exacerbating the already fragile situation in Idlib.
The Failure to Manage Idlib’s Economy
Al-Jolani’s economic policies, or lack thereof, have proven ineffective in stabilizing Idlib. Unlike other regions that have attempted to establish functioning economies despite war conditions, Idlib remains heavily reliant on external aid, black-market trade, and smuggling networks. Without a long-term economic vision, the region faces continued decline, making it increasingly difficult for residents to sustain their livelihoods.
What’s Next for Idlib?
With worsening economic conditions and growing discontent, the future of Al-Jolani’s leadership remains uncertain. His inability to provide economic stability, combined with increasing political tensions, could lead to further unrest and possibly even internal challenges to his rule. Idlib’s residents are left to wonder—how much longer can this fragile system hold before it collapses entirely?
As the crisis deepens, the need for real economic solutions becomes more pressing. Without meaningful reforms, Al-Jolani’s control over Idlib may soon face its greatest challenge yet.