Erdogan’s Shift at the 2024 UNGA: A New Tone on Kashmir

 

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, known for his vocal support of the Kashmir issue, surprised many by not mentioning it during his 2024 United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) speech. This shift is significant, especially since Erdogan has regularly spoken about Kashmir’s situation since 2019. So, why did he choose to stay silent this time? Let’s explore some possible reasons.

Erdogan’s Past Focus on Kashmir

For years, Erdogan has used the UNGA platform to highlight Kashmir’s struggles, particularly after India revoked Article 370, which gave Jammu and Kashmir special status. He has consistently called for a peaceful resolution between India and Pakistan, often supporting the need for dialogue and cooperation.

Why the Change in 2024?
Turkey’s BRICS Membership Bid

Turkey is looking to join the BRICS group, which includes India, China, Russia, Brazil, and South Africa. Since all current members must agree to admit new members, Erdogan’s silence on Kashmir might be a way to gain India’s support for Turkey’s membership.

Pursuing SCO Membership
Turkey is also trying to become a full member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), where India plays a key role. Avoiding contentious issues like Kashmir could help Turkey strengthen ties with SCO members, especially India.

Growing Economic Ties with India
India is an important partner for Turkey in tourism and business. With more Indians visiting Turkey and Indian companies expanding there, Erdogan likely wants to avoid straining relations with India by bringing up the Kashmir issue on the global stage.

Improved Relations with India’s Allies

Turkey has been working to mend relations with countries like Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, all of which are close allies of India. Maintaining a neutral stance on Kashmir could help Turkey maintain these improved relations.

Tensions with Pakistan
Turkey’s relations with Pakistan, a strong advocate for Kashmir, have seen some tension due to social and criminal issues caused by undocumented Pakistani immigrants in Turkey. This might also have influenced Erdogan’s decision to step back from the Kashmir issue.

Erdogan’s silence on Kashmir at the 2024 UNGA seems to be a strategic move aimed at strengthening Turkey’s relations with India and advancing its global ambitions. As Turkey looks to join influential groups like BRICS and the SCO, Erdogan’s evolving stance on Kashmir may reflect a broader shift in Turkey’s foreign policy, prioritizing long-term strategic interests over past rhetoric.