The Economic Impact of Ultra-Orthodox Military Service in Israel

 
A significant economic conundrum facing Israel at the moment is the exclusion of ultra-Orthodox Jews from military duty. In order to fairly share the defense duties across society, the Bank of Israel has emphasized the economic benefits of including the ultra-Orthodox community in the military.

Economic Repercussions:

The negative economic effects of the existing policy exempting ultra-Orthodox Jews from military service have been emphasized by the Bank of Israel. The ultra-Orthodox sector, which now accounts for 7% of the economy, is expected to rise at a high rate and reach 25% in 40 years. Nevertheless, just 55% of ultra-Orthodox men are employed, which might lead to a six percentage point decline in GDP by 2065.
 
Debt Management and Defense Expenditures:

Governor of the Bank of Israel Amir Yaron has stressed the need for budgetary restraint, especially in view of proposals to increase defense spending. He has suggested that in order to avoid a long-term rise in the public debt-to-GDP ratio, any new funding for the defense budget should be accompanied by fiscal changes. Legislators recently approved an adjusted state budget for 2024 that contained large amounts to fund military activities. Israel plans to raise its defense expenditure annually by $5.4 billion going forward.

Problems and Solutions:

The coalition government is divided on the decision to remove the exemptions for ultra-Orthodox Jews. To resolve the matter, Prime Minister Netanyahu has asked for a 30-day delay, highlighting how difficult it will be to come up with a solution that will satisfy all parties. The Bank of Israel's proposal to enrol the ultra-Orthodox in the military might both help Israel meet its growing defense needs and lessen economic hardships.

Exempting ultra-Orthodox people from military duty in Israel has serious economic repercussions. Long-term economic benefits could result from integrating the ultra-Orthodox population into the military, which could encourage a more equitable distribution of defense obligations across society. However, the Israeli government faces a significant difficulty in coming up with a solution that balances political and social realities with economic imperatives.

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